10-12-2012, 06:37 AM
Alik Bahshi
Around the Caspian Sea
According to the already clearlymarked political direction of Putin's Russia "Back to the Empire",Moscow, provoking and using national problems in the countries of the formerSoviet republics, and brutally suppressing any attempt to gain freedom of thepeoples of the empire, still hopes to return fugitives under his wing. And inthis direction should be as fast as possible until these countries, followingthe example of the Baltic states, have not granted a roof in the form of aUnited Europe and NATO. In order to resist political pressure and energyblackmail by Russia, Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan and Moldova joined the unionGUAM. On their territory can be traced pipeline Baku - Batumi - the bottom ofthe Black Sea - Crimea - Moldova - Romania and then Europe. Seems verypromising as "Nabucco" project that foresees the constructionpipeline to Europe via Turkey. That is, to bypass Russia oil and gas from the Caspianpool can be transported to Europe, which will not only prevent Russia toblackmail its former colonies, covering gas and electricity, but also depriveit of the monopoly on the supply of gas to Europe. Of course, for this projectwill need to lay a pipeline under the Caspian Sea from Turkmenistan to Baku,Azerbaijan for its gas enough. Thus, Baku has become a key geopolitical pointof the project and the main irritant to Moscow impediment to its policies gasblackmail.
Thegeographical location of Azerbaijan is that there are crossed many politicaland economic strands of the Eurasian continent. Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan andKazakhstan, as well as the entire basin of the Caspian Sea between the twocountries - is the oil and gas Klondike, which Russia lost in the decay of theSoviet Union and who is a serious potential rival to Russia and Iran in the oiland gas market. Of course, with the start of commercial operation of theBaku-Ceyhan pipeline will decrease the flow of petrodollars to Russia, in fact,it is of great political importance, as it will contribute to the consolidationof the Turkic-speaking countries.
Thecollapse of the Soviet Union - an empire that covered one-sixth of the land,many changes in the political map of the world, and shuffled the interests ofthe military-strategic plans of many states.
In the sphere of geopolitics, Russia suffered a severe defeat, especially inEurope. NATO expansion to the East, crept close to the borders of Russia, and,if in the future Ukraine will follow the former Baltic republics of the USSR,the Black Sea is strategically lost to Russia.
No better than the current situation and in the south, where Russia isreasonable to foresee a threat to their Turkic-speaking underbelly of theCaucasus and Central Asia. Here more distinct outlines of the emerging underthe auspices of Turkey blocks Turkic countries in the vast area of ​​Asia Minorto the Altai, which, like the blade, crashed into the center of the Asiancontinent. That legacy of Tamerlane has great economic and military-strategicpotential, not only through a wide area, but also because of the huge oil andgas reserves are not inferior to the Arabian Basin.
Vulnerability by the Turkic commonwealth - no between Turkey and Azerbaijancontinued territorial corridor. In strategic terms, the situation is aggravatedby the occupation of 20% of Azerbaijani territory. But in the case ofreunification of Azerbaijan with its southern part, located in Iran, thecreation of a monolithic political bloc is possible. Number of Azerbaijanis inSouth Azerbaijan in two and a half times more than in northern Azerbaijan, andtheir potential and natural desire for political unification can alarm Tehran.
This is where the cross geopolitical interests of Russia and Iran, andactually have the axis Moscow-Yerevan-Tehran is just a noose in the mostvulnerable position. In addition, an unfinished Karabakh war plays the role ofa glow primer to military action in the area hands Armenia beneficial forMoscow time.
Armenia has territorial claims to the neighbors again, as during World War II,may serve as "trump card" for Moscow in its political game in theCaucasus. This explains the special tradition of military-political relationsbetween Russia and Armenia. Of all the former Soviet republics of Armeniagained only modern missile systems S-300. Incidentally, it should be noted herethat all the heavy weaponry supplied to Armenia via Iran. Axis Moscow - Tehranmust protect economic interests of Russia. Moscow can not accept the fact thatAzerbaijan alone produces oil from its shores and from time to time raised thequestion about some obscure status of the Caspian Sea. It is possible thatCaspian oil could be the cause of future political, and possibly militaryclashes.
Rapprochement between Russia and Iran in the military-political spherebegan almost immediately after the disappearance from the political map of theSoviet Union, and due to a change in the geopolitical situation in Eurasia,which served as the internal political developments in Iran and then in theUSSR in the 80-90gg.
Western concern Russia's sale of nuclear technology to Iran is not in vain, asthe appearance of nuclear weapons in the hands of another totalitarian regime,now in his new - religious guise, is a serious threat to the world. Leader ofthe Islamic Revolution, revealing their insane plans for the manifestation ofthe divine will, can bring the world to the threat of nuclear blackmail.Assurances from Russia and Iran that a nuclear reactor is exclusively forpeaceful purposes devoid of logic and expediency. The question is, why Irannuclear power as an alternative energy source in the presence of vast naturalresources of energy, which are oil and gas. Is Iran so rich that can afford tohave a nuclear reactor in an expensive toy? No doubt nuclear reactor neededreligious regime to build a nuclear bomb. Of course, if we take into accountthat regional neighbors China, Pakistan, India and Israel have acquired nuclearweapons, and the Iranians are entitled to purchase one. But that is anotherquestion.
Whatare the reasons to go to Moscow led to the transfer of nuclear technology toIran, despite protests from Washington?
To believe that such a thing called a purely commercial transaction would bewrong. Rather, it is a kind of payment for political cooperation.
Over the past two centuries, Russia was for the most dangerous neighborIran. Iran is the last barrier to the advancement of the Russian Empire to theIndian Ocean. And the weak, poor country would surely its next victim, if notfor the intercession of England. Last attempt to carry out their aggressiveplans Moscow made at the end of World War II, when the Soviets occupied part ofIranian territory, the so-called South Azerbaijan. Only political talent and visionWinston Churchill, foresaw the Cold War era,forced Stalin to withdraw the army from Iran.
Subsequently, under the auspices of the U.S. was established SEATO bloc, whichincludes Turkey, Iran and Pakistan. This trio has formed a military andpolitical shield against possible expansion of the Soviet Union to the South.Given the fact that Turkey is a NATO member and has a bilateral agreement withthe United States, SEATO was as impregnable to assault, as well as NATO. Iranat the time was getting a lot of U.S. weapons and economic aid.
Pahlavi, theShah of Iran, to get higher education in Switzerland,was a supporter of the development ofthe country along the lines ofWestern civilization, like Turkey, has committed a rather bold for areligiously orthodox East move to separatereligion from the state.But, if Ataturk in his progressive reforms was support in the face of theYoung Turks, the Pahlavi had no such support. Yet thanks to petrodollarscountry rapidly in technical and economic terms, and was on the verge of aneconomic boom.
Following American goods into the country penetrated the seeds ofWestern culture. American films flooded cinemas and television. Young people,like a sponge, absorb all the new and different. "Defilement shower"faithful provoked anger religious leaders, who saw in the culturaltransformation of society and a threat to its influence on the masses. Allattempts to persuade the Shah to turn off the path he has chosen, going againstreligious dogma, were unsuccessful. Moreover, the Shah did not stand onceremony with his ideological opponents, and the future father of the IslamicRevolution Ayatollah Khomeini even had to leave Iran and develop into a martyrfor the faith.
Everyone knows the tragic end transformation of Iranian society, takenby none other than himself shakhinshakh (Shah of Shahs) of Iran, Mohammed RezaPahlavi. Proud single ahead of his time, he graduated from the last days inexile. Severe terror swept sprouts new life. Guardians of the IslamicRevolution with great pleasure staged public executions of women who dared toshow up with an open face, or found guilty of treason. Burned cinemas withlocked inside the audience. Black Veil religious fanaticism again fell to Iran,to protect from the outside world, and in an instant, plunging the country intoa period of medieval obscurantism.
The civilized world was shocked by what hashappened in Iran, and only Moscow remained silent. Communists have alwaysrespected all totalitarian regimes close to them in spirit, whether in NaziGermany, the dictatorship in Libya, and Iraq, and now one of its varieties -religious totalitarianism in the face of the Islamic state of Iran.
Knowing full well that democracy is the main evil in his power, the religiousoligarchy declared Western civilization the enemy of Islam and all Muslims.(This is totally wrong, if only because it is the West's military action savedthe Bosnian and Kosovo Muslims from genocide committed by the Serbs.) Naturallythe main enemy of the revolution was the U.S. and its ally Israel, and not forthe reason that Israel is at war with the Arabs, Iran himself for 8 years warwith Iraq, but because Iran, like any totalitarian regimes need an enemy to"mobilize the spirit" and eliminate the least free-thinking withinthe regime.
Iran has tried to take a leadership role in the Muslim world and for this it isnecessary to reinforce the propaganda some do more. To this end, the Tehranregime skillfully uses the Arab-Israeli conflict, maintaining a fair right ofPalestinians to freedom.
The military cooperation with Iran, Russia sees the West worthy answer to NATOexpansion, and help in the construction of a nuclear reactor, which is inexcess of natural energy resources, of course, need for Iran to build a nuclearbomb, is a good irritating factor in America and Israel. And gravely mistakenpolicies that consider Russia already defeated. "Evil Empire" isstill able to burn the Earth nuclear breath in its death throes, or generatetheir own kind in the face of Iran.
Union of Russia andIran exemplifies the political hypocrisy of both of them is a kind of politicalparadox. On the one hand, the Kremlin, intimidates West internationalterrorists and Islamic invasion, in order to justify its policy to "soakthe Chechens in the toilet", and on the other hand helps the state, theauthority of which are the same Islamists to build a nuclear weapon! Identicalsituation with Iran, which is trying to present itself as a bastion of Muslimhostility against the Christian world, at the same time, is in league withChristian Armenia and Russia, and in fact, has a policy against MuslimAzerbaijan! As you can see, there is no conflict of religions andcivilizations, wars, and there are interested parties who use these categoriesto cover purely selfish political purposes.
All of this is not given to President Bush, a kind of a reference sampleof political stupidity, which, without knowing the real cause of tragedy in NewYork September 11, and believed in a virtual global Islamic conspiracy, foundin the face of Putin's associates on the fight against international terrorism,which made it possible last strangle democracy in Russia and pass mullahsmodern weapons including the possibility of creating its own atomic bomb.Moreover, with the light hand of Bush America, in fact, was the roof trying torevive the empire. Bush does not understand that Putin's political direction"Back to the Empire" is directed primarily against the GUAMcountries, hoping for help from NATO hanging over their threats absorption.
Baku - Ceyhan pipeline that passes through Georgia, is a powerful strategicargument, causing political and economic impact on the interests of the RussianEmpire, and is a major cause of blackmail Georgia rejection of some of herterritory, and if Georgia becomes a vassal or even lose its independence, Russiawith the support of Armenia and Iran will be able to create a blockade andcompletely block access to the Caspian oil to Europe. Moscow does not benefitthe appearance of another vendor in the energy market. Pipeline laid in thefirst place for the countries of the Caspian basin, so they can sell oilwithout a mediator, able to exert political pressure, because a mediator is notprivately owned, and the empire is subject provocative Russian policy in theCaucasus, which is supported by no less interested - Armenia and Iran. That iswhat should cause major concern of the White House and Europe, and not avirtual threat to Western civilization of Islam, a threat that scare interestedpeople from the Kremlin, and Tel Aviv. George W. Bush during his term aspresident of the United States has done so much political errors and omissionsthat Barack Obama will have to make considerable efforts to eliminate thepossibility of penetration of Russia to the energy resources of the CaspianSea.
Around the Caspian Sea
According to the already clearlymarked political direction of Putin's Russia "Back to the Empire",Moscow, provoking and using national problems in the countries of the formerSoviet republics, and brutally suppressing any attempt to gain freedom of thepeoples of the empire, still hopes to return fugitives under his wing. And inthis direction should be as fast as possible until these countries, followingthe example of the Baltic states, have not granted a roof in the form of aUnited Europe and NATO. In order to resist political pressure and energyblackmail by Russia, Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan and Moldova joined the unionGUAM. On their territory can be traced pipeline Baku - Batumi - the bottom ofthe Black Sea - Crimea - Moldova - Romania and then Europe. Seems verypromising as "Nabucco" project that foresees the constructionpipeline to Europe via Turkey. That is, to bypass Russia oil and gas from the Caspianpool can be transported to Europe, which will not only prevent Russia toblackmail its former colonies, covering gas and electricity, but also depriveit of the monopoly on the supply of gas to Europe. Of course, for this projectwill need to lay a pipeline under the Caspian Sea from Turkmenistan to Baku,Azerbaijan for its gas enough. Thus, Baku has become a key geopolitical pointof the project and the main irritant to Moscow impediment to its policies gasblackmail.
Thegeographical location of Azerbaijan is that there are crossed many politicaland economic strands of the Eurasian continent. Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan andKazakhstan, as well as the entire basin of the Caspian Sea between the twocountries - is the oil and gas Klondike, which Russia lost in the decay of theSoviet Union and who is a serious potential rival to Russia and Iran in the oiland gas market. Of course, with the start of commercial operation of theBaku-Ceyhan pipeline will decrease the flow of petrodollars to Russia, in fact,it is of great political importance, as it will contribute to the consolidationof the Turkic-speaking countries.
Thecollapse of the Soviet Union - an empire that covered one-sixth of the land,many changes in the political map of the world, and shuffled the interests ofthe military-strategic plans of many states.
In the sphere of geopolitics, Russia suffered a severe defeat, especially inEurope. NATO expansion to the East, crept close to the borders of Russia, and,if in the future Ukraine will follow the former Baltic republics of the USSR,the Black Sea is strategically lost to Russia.
No better than the current situation and in the south, where Russia isreasonable to foresee a threat to their Turkic-speaking underbelly of theCaucasus and Central Asia. Here more distinct outlines of the emerging underthe auspices of Turkey blocks Turkic countries in the vast area of ​​Asia Minorto the Altai, which, like the blade, crashed into the center of the Asiancontinent. That legacy of Tamerlane has great economic and military-strategicpotential, not only through a wide area, but also because of the huge oil andgas reserves are not inferior to the Arabian Basin.
Vulnerability by the Turkic commonwealth - no between Turkey and Azerbaijancontinued territorial corridor. In strategic terms, the situation is aggravatedby the occupation of 20% of Azerbaijani territory. But in the case ofreunification of Azerbaijan with its southern part, located in Iran, thecreation of a monolithic political bloc is possible. Number of Azerbaijanis inSouth Azerbaijan in two and a half times more than in northern Azerbaijan, andtheir potential and natural desire for political unification can alarm Tehran.
This is where the cross geopolitical interests of Russia and Iran, andactually have the axis Moscow-Yerevan-Tehran is just a noose in the mostvulnerable position. In addition, an unfinished Karabakh war plays the role ofa glow primer to military action in the area hands Armenia beneficial forMoscow time.
Armenia has territorial claims to the neighbors again, as during World War II,may serve as "trump card" for Moscow in its political game in theCaucasus. This explains the special tradition of military-political relationsbetween Russia and Armenia. Of all the former Soviet republics of Armeniagained only modern missile systems S-300. Incidentally, it should be noted herethat all the heavy weaponry supplied to Armenia via Iran. Axis Moscow - Tehranmust protect economic interests of Russia. Moscow can not accept the fact thatAzerbaijan alone produces oil from its shores and from time to time raised thequestion about some obscure status of the Caspian Sea. It is possible thatCaspian oil could be the cause of future political, and possibly militaryclashes.
Rapprochement between Russia and Iran in the military-political spherebegan almost immediately after the disappearance from the political map of theSoviet Union, and due to a change in the geopolitical situation in Eurasia,which served as the internal political developments in Iran and then in theUSSR in the 80-90gg.
Western concern Russia's sale of nuclear technology to Iran is not in vain, asthe appearance of nuclear weapons in the hands of another totalitarian regime,now in his new - religious guise, is a serious threat to the world. Leader ofthe Islamic Revolution, revealing their insane plans for the manifestation ofthe divine will, can bring the world to the threat of nuclear blackmail.Assurances from Russia and Iran that a nuclear reactor is exclusively forpeaceful purposes devoid of logic and expediency. The question is, why Irannuclear power as an alternative energy source in the presence of vast naturalresources of energy, which are oil and gas. Is Iran so rich that can afford tohave a nuclear reactor in an expensive toy? No doubt nuclear reactor neededreligious regime to build a nuclear bomb. Of course, if we take into accountthat regional neighbors China, Pakistan, India and Israel have acquired nuclearweapons, and the Iranians are entitled to purchase one. But that is anotherquestion.
Whatare the reasons to go to Moscow led to the transfer of nuclear technology toIran, despite protests from Washington?
To believe that such a thing called a purely commercial transaction would bewrong. Rather, it is a kind of payment for political cooperation.
Over the past two centuries, Russia was for the most dangerous neighborIran. Iran is the last barrier to the advancement of the Russian Empire to theIndian Ocean. And the weak, poor country would surely its next victim, if notfor the intercession of England. Last attempt to carry out their aggressiveplans Moscow made at the end of World War II, when the Soviets occupied part ofIranian territory, the so-called South Azerbaijan. Only political talent and visionWinston Churchill, foresaw the Cold War era,forced Stalin to withdraw the army from Iran.
Subsequently, under the auspices of the U.S. was established SEATO bloc, whichincludes Turkey, Iran and Pakistan. This trio has formed a military andpolitical shield against possible expansion of the Soviet Union to the South.Given the fact that Turkey is a NATO member and has a bilateral agreement withthe United States, SEATO was as impregnable to assault, as well as NATO. Iranat the time was getting a lot of U.S. weapons and economic aid.
Pahlavi, theShah of Iran, to get higher education in Switzerland,was a supporter of the development ofthe country along the lines ofWestern civilization, like Turkey, has committed a rather bold for areligiously orthodox East move to separatereligion from the state.But, if Ataturk in his progressive reforms was support in the face of theYoung Turks, the Pahlavi had no such support. Yet thanks to petrodollarscountry rapidly in technical and economic terms, and was on the verge of aneconomic boom.
Following American goods into the country penetrated the seeds ofWestern culture. American films flooded cinemas and television. Young people,like a sponge, absorb all the new and different. "Defilement shower"faithful provoked anger religious leaders, who saw in the culturaltransformation of society and a threat to its influence on the masses. Allattempts to persuade the Shah to turn off the path he has chosen, going againstreligious dogma, were unsuccessful. Moreover, the Shah did not stand onceremony with his ideological opponents, and the future father of the IslamicRevolution Ayatollah Khomeini even had to leave Iran and develop into a martyrfor the faith.
Everyone knows the tragic end transformation of Iranian society, takenby none other than himself shakhinshakh (Shah of Shahs) of Iran, Mohammed RezaPahlavi. Proud single ahead of his time, he graduated from the last days inexile. Severe terror swept sprouts new life. Guardians of the IslamicRevolution with great pleasure staged public executions of women who dared toshow up with an open face, or found guilty of treason. Burned cinemas withlocked inside the audience. Black Veil religious fanaticism again fell to Iran,to protect from the outside world, and in an instant, plunging the country intoa period of medieval obscurantism.
The civilized world was shocked by what hashappened in Iran, and only Moscow remained silent. Communists have alwaysrespected all totalitarian regimes close to them in spirit, whether in NaziGermany, the dictatorship in Libya, and Iraq, and now one of its varieties -religious totalitarianism in the face of the Islamic state of Iran.
Knowing full well that democracy is the main evil in his power, the religiousoligarchy declared Western civilization the enemy of Islam and all Muslims.(This is totally wrong, if only because it is the West's military action savedthe Bosnian and Kosovo Muslims from genocide committed by the Serbs.) Naturallythe main enemy of the revolution was the U.S. and its ally Israel, and not forthe reason that Israel is at war with the Arabs, Iran himself for 8 years warwith Iraq, but because Iran, like any totalitarian regimes need an enemy to"mobilize the spirit" and eliminate the least free-thinking withinthe regime.
Iran has tried to take a leadership role in the Muslim world and for this it isnecessary to reinforce the propaganda some do more. To this end, the Tehranregime skillfully uses the Arab-Israeli conflict, maintaining a fair right ofPalestinians to freedom.
The military cooperation with Iran, Russia sees the West worthy answer to NATOexpansion, and help in the construction of a nuclear reactor, which is inexcess of natural energy resources, of course, need for Iran to build a nuclearbomb, is a good irritating factor in America and Israel. And gravely mistakenpolicies that consider Russia already defeated. "Evil Empire" isstill able to burn the Earth nuclear breath in its death throes, or generatetheir own kind in the face of Iran.
Union of Russia andIran exemplifies the political hypocrisy of both of them is a kind of politicalparadox. On the one hand, the Kremlin, intimidates West internationalterrorists and Islamic invasion, in order to justify its policy to "soakthe Chechens in the toilet", and on the other hand helps the state, theauthority of which are the same Islamists to build a nuclear weapon! Identicalsituation with Iran, which is trying to present itself as a bastion of Muslimhostility against the Christian world, at the same time, is in league withChristian Armenia and Russia, and in fact, has a policy against MuslimAzerbaijan! As you can see, there is no conflict of religions andcivilizations, wars, and there are interested parties who use these categoriesto cover purely selfish political purposes.
All of this is not given to President Bush, a kind of a reference sampleof political stupidity, which, without knowing the real cause of tragedy in NewYork September 11, and believed in a virtual global Islamic conspiracy, foundin the face of Putin's associates on the fight against international terrorism,which made it possible last strangle democracy in Russia and pass mullahsmodern weapons including the possibility of creating its own atomic bomb.Moreover, with the light hand of Bush America, in fact, was the roof trying torevive the empire. Bush does not understand that Putin's political direction"Back to the Empire" is directed primarily against the GUAMcountries, hoping for help from NATO hanging over their threats absorption.
Baku - Ceyhan pipeline that passes through Georgia, is a powerful strategicargument, causing political and economic impact on the interests of the RussianEmpire, and is a major cause of blackmail Georgia rejection of some of herterritory, and if Georgia becomes a vassal or even lose its independence, Russiawith the support of Armenia and Iran will be able to create a blockade andcompletely block access to the Caspian oil to Europe. Moscow does not benefitthe appearance of another vendor in the energy market. Pipeline laid in thefirst place for the countries of the Caspian basin, so they can sell oilwithout a mediator, able to exert political pressure, because a mediator is notprivately owned, and the empire is subject provocative Russian policy in theCaucasus, which is supported by no less interested - Armenia and Iran. That iswhat should cause major concern of the White House and Europe, and not avirtual threat to Western civilization of Islam, a threat that scare interestedpeople from the Kremlin, and Tel Aviv. George W. Bush during his term aspresident of the United States has done so much political errors and omissionsthat Barack Obama will have to make considerable efforts to eliminate thepossibility of penetration of Russia to the energy resources of the CaspianSea.
