01-12-2012, 06:12 AM
David Josephs Wrote:Mark Stapleton Wrote:David Josephs Wrote:If the chances are 50% on any ONE ITEM then the CHANCES of YOU AND RALPH being right about 2 of the items is 25%, 3 items? .5 to the 3rd... 50 items?
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[TD="class: xl63, width: 641, bgcolor: transparent"][FONT=Arial][size=12][COLOR=#000000]1,125,899,906,842,620 : 1 are the odds that YOU AND RALPH are correct on ALL 50 items if you are correct 50% of the time in your matches... 50% to the 50th power
So what? That enormous number is also the probability that all the points of identification are wrong.
You haven't proved a thing.
Huh? What was it you think I was trying to prove Mark? Do you agree with JF about Doorman being Lovelady or not?
I think Ozzie might indeed have been Doorman. It looks like LHO and Doorman wore the same shirt. Oswald told Fritz he was out front with Bill Shelley and Shelley told the FBI Lovelady was sitting on the steps in front of him at the time of the shooting. The WC never tried to make Shelley state that Lovelady got up from his sitting position and Shelley was interviewed twice by WC counsel. I think some people here can't bring themselves to admit that Jim Fetzer is right.
Altgens 6 has been doctored to cloud the issue. I give that a 99% probability of being correct.
