01-12-2012, 05:20 PM
Mark Stapleton Wrote:David Josephs Wrote:Mark Stapleton Wrote:David Josephs Wrote:If the chances are 50% on any ONE ITEM then the CHANCES of YOU AND RALPH being right about 2 of the items is 25%, 3 items? .5 to the 3rd... 50 items?
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[TD="class: xl63, width: 641, bgcolor: transparent"][FONT=Arial][size=12][COLOR=#000000]1,125,899,906,842,620 : 1 are the odds that YOU AND RALPH are correct on ALL 50 items if you are correct 50% of the time in your matches... 50% to the 50th power
So what? That enormous number is also the probability that all the points of identification are wrong.
You haven't proved a thing.
Huh? What was it you think I was trying to prove Mark? Do you agree with JF about Doorman being Lovelady or not?
I think Ozzie might indeed have been Doorman. It looks like LHO and Doorman wore the same shirt. Oswald told Fritz he was out front with Bill Shelley and Shelley told the FBI Lovelady was sitting on the steps in front of him at the time of the shooting. The WC never tried to make Shelley state that Lovelady got up from his sitting position and Shelley was interviewed twice by WC counsel. I think some people here can't bring themselves to admit that Jim Fetzer is right.
Altgens 6 has been doctored to cloud the issue. I give that a 99% probability of being correct.
So now we have Mark Stapleton who, by his own admission, is not much of a scholar on the JFK case as evidenced by his hanging his hat on the posts made by the likes of Rago and company on the EF--chiming in with his uninformed opinion that Fetzer is correct.
Except Mark has apparently begun to do a little research into how many times Shelley was interviewed by the Warren Commission counsel among other things.
David Mantik just told me yesterday that he enjoyed a very informative presentation in Dallas last week at the Lancer conference. Striking was the fact that the numerous witnesses out front on the steps corroberated each other's story with an extremely high degree of consistency--nearly 100%--which indicates truthfullness. And not even one single witness mentioned seeing Oswald out front during the shooting. Not even one.
GO_SECURE
monk
"It is difficult to abolish prejudice in those bereft of ideas. The more hatred is superficial, the more it runs deep."
James Hepburn -- Farewell America (1968)
monk
"It is difficult to abolish prejudice in those bereft of ideas. The more hatred is superficial, the more it runs deep."
James Hepburn -- Farewell America (1968)

