03-01-2015, 07:35 AM
MAS has more than 100,000 flights per year, and the odds of any given flight having a fatal crash is (according to planecrashinfo.com) 1 in 4.3 million. So I'd give the odds as roughly (1/4.3*10^6)^3), times 100,000 for a figure of odds: 1 / 1.26*10^13
or about a 0.00000000000008 chance.
or about a 0.00000000000008 chance.
"All that is necessary for tyranny to succeed is for good men to do nothing." (unknown)
James Tracy: "There is sometimes an undue amount of paranoia among some conspiracy researchers that can contribute to flawed observations and analysis."
Gary Cornwell (Dept. Chief Counsel HSCA): "A fact merely marks the point at which we have agreed to let investigation cease."
Alan Ford: "Just because you believe it, that doesn't make it so."
James Tracy: "There is sometimes an undue amount of paranoia among some conspiracy researchers that can contribute to flawed observations and analysis."
Gary Cornwell (Dept. Chief Counsel HSCA): "A fact merely marks the point at which we have agreed to let investigation cease."
Alan Ford: "Just because you believe it, that doesn't make it so."