Another bullshit story from Evans Ambrose-Richards

[David Guyatt]

Really, only 20% gas capacity is being used in Europejust now?

Is that because it's Summer and we're in the middle of a sustained heatwave where central heating is zero, cooking reduced a lot (more salads and outdoor bar-b-qs) - and unless we find a way for gas to be used to power lightbulbs (also not a lot used these days) and washing machines, then, Blimey O'Reilly! consumption should be down by 80%?

But hey, let's use this obvious fact to sideswipe those nasty ol' evil Russians.

You can always trust a dog to bark - and a slanted journo to slant a story...

Europe braced for any gas crisis as Russia sanctions escalate

LNG terminals in Britain and the Continent currently operating at just 20pc of full capacity

The showdown with Russian president Vladimir Putin comes at moment of surging global supplies of LNG Photo: Getty Images









By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

10:20PM BST 22 Jul 2014

164 Comments


Europe has enough spare capacity in liquefied natural gas (LNG) to meet a large part of the region's needs if Russia retaliates against the latest EU sanctions by restricting gas supplies.

The showdown with Russian president Vladimir Putin comes at moment of surging global supplies of LNG, which can be diverted to European markets and reduce the Kremlin's political leverage. The price of LNG in Asia has crashed from $20 to $11 per million British thermal unit (BTU) since February.

The pan-EU group Gas Infrastructure Europe said the network of LNG terminals in Britain and the Continent is currently operating at just 20pc of its full capacity. It could in theory boost flows by 160bn cubic metres (BCM), if there is available gas.

This is more than Russia's entire shipments, which reached 155 BCM last year. The European network of pipelines does not cover every region and would leave pockets in eastern Europe without supply.

"We have a lot of free capacity in LNG in Europe. It would be extremely difficult to replace Russian gas in a just a few months but it is possible to raise supply," said one official.

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Analysts say Russia is highly unlikely to cut off gas supplies because this would trigger a fiscal crisis in Russia itself and cause Europe to switch permanently to other sources. Yet the political temperature is rising.
Europe's foreign ministers agreed on Tuesday to draw up plans for "further significant restrictive measures" if Russia continues to supply weapons to the rebels in eastern Ukraine. These include "access to capital markets, defence, dual-use goods and sensitive technologies, including in the energy sector".
Poland's foreign minister, Radek Sikorski, a hardliner on sanctions, said the agreement "should make President Putin realise this is for real". The European Commission will flesh out the plans for EU ambassadors on Thursday, most likely followed by a summit of EU leaders.
The restrictions on capital markets are unlikely to go as far as US measures unveiled last week, which cut off long-term US funding for Rosneft, Novatek and Gasprombank, and effectively shuts the Russian energy industry out of the global markets. The chief importance is symbolic, closing much of the political gap between Europe and America on how to handle the Putin regime.
Russia's former finance minister Alexey Kudrin said the situation is becoming critical, warning that full "tier 3" sanctions against the financial and energy sectors could lead to economic collapse, slashing income by up to 20pc.
One LNG analyst said there is enough spare gas worldwide to plug some gaps in Europe in a crisis, but not nearly enough if Mr Putin were to cut off supplies altogether. "The gas price would go through the roof. It would be a massive shock," he said.
Even so, Europe is in an unusually strong position. The warm winter has left inventories high at 76pc of capacity. A glut of LNG in Korea and Japan has driven Asian prices to a three-year low.
Qatar has been diverting some of its shipments to Britain, where eight cargoes are being delivered in July. The UK price has tumbled to $6.50, far below the price of Russian pipeline gas in Europe. Roughly 20 BCM is currently being funnelled to the rest of Europe from Britain's terminal through the Interconnector.
Germany relies on Russia for 30pc of its gas, but the importance of this is often overstated. Most of its power comes from renewables, coal and, for the time being, nuclear reactors. A mix of LNG and coal could allow German electricity utilities to weather any cut-off in supplies.

[Paul Rigby]

Cameroon has been peddling a very curious notion - that sanctions against Russia will be consequence-free for the UK. Alas, the UK's biggest export market is the EU - very vulnerable to any declines in Russia gas supplies or industrial imports.

Stranger still than this nonsense, is the failure of any one of political note or substance to point out the bleedin' obvious.

We live in dark, malign and increasingly stupid times here in the UK.