04-01-2015, 02:08 PM
Hungary: Next Stop on the Putsch Express
Once is a conspiracy theory. Twice is a coincidence. Thrice gets people wondering. Four times and the polished denials begin as conspiracy theory has become neoliberal reality.[/FONT]
So it is in the Balkans, Central and Eastern Europe and former Soviet regions. Yugoslavia, Croatia, Chechnya, Georgia, Ukraine. And where next? The number has gone way beyond four - the time of polished denials. To deny the conspiracy is meaningless at this point for it is not merely a conspiracy shrouded in the minds of tin-hat quacks but it is in the open for all to see; that is, whoever wishes to open their eyes to what is happening.[/FONT]
Were the choice words of Victoria Nuland not enough? Was the feting of John McCain by Ukrainian fascists not enough? Or the continuous duplicity in the words of any official tasked with parroting the lines of democracy devised by the most undemocratic geopolitical Machiavellis? When duplicity and hypocrisy mix in the cauldron of Washington's witches' brew being stirred in Brussels' kitchen and served at tables in Tbilisi, Kiev, Grozny, and now Budapest.[/FONT]
And why Budapest? Why now? Why Hungary? Perhaps George Soros sees his days being numbered and he has saved his country for last. A collusion with the elites to rule his own country. Rather ironic that the NATO operations for liberty are now knocking on the door of Mr. Soros' country. Or, perhaps, less conspiratorial - for who wants to peddle in conspiracies? - it is simply the latest salvo in the war to prolong the life of a dying United States-NATO hegemon.[/FONT]
One wonders whether the denizens of think tanks in Europe and the United States lay their heads down at night and count Russians and Chinese and any member of the Global South jumping over rapidly shrinking stacks of US dollars and Euros. One Russian Nationalist, Two Chinese Communists, Three Iranian Scientists. Like a drumbeat they see the alliance of Russia and China, Russia and its former allies, China and Africa, Iran and South America - the world with itself, devoid of a cowering pandering to the dictates of the post-WW2 leaders of freedom. Perhaps they see this as their eyes close on feather down pillows. They see this and they know the nightmare is nigh. A pill they need. A pill called Putsch that is branded and copyrighted with its own bold imprint on the pill - "Civil Society Democracy".[/FONT]
But I digress...why Hungary? Just a few years ago, Prime Minister Viktor Orban was going to become the darling of Washington. He was a right-leaning centrist of sorts whose views on immigrants would make Republican xenophobes proud but was sufficiently in agreement with the European Union and global capitalism when it came to economics and foreign policy. He was our buddy who could be counted on to serve as a bulwark against a possibly rising Russia under Vladimir Putin. But time passed and we find ourselves in the mid-20teens with the European Union in free-fall, wracked by a collapsed economy and Western European nations caught between liberal nebbishes and xenophobic rightists. And as time passed, Prime Minister Orban cleverly decided to see which way the winds were blowing and they were blowing towards the Kremlin. Center-right governments in Europe are being outflanked on their Right yet still slavishly remain within the EU paradigm - a suicide wish when farther-right populism is rightfully (if from the wrong ideological rationale) calling them out as puppets of Brussels. Public support for austerity is not that fashionable among blue-collar workers in Europe it should be noted and Orban was attuned to this.[/FONT]
So whether from a desire to stay in power or an actual interest in helping his right-leaning Christian-minded constituency that had been left to rot by Europe in the new post-Soviet world of liberalism, Orban decided to shift from ally of the West alone to hedging his bets between the West and Russia. Yet 2012 may have been the turning point when he left puppet status and he spurned IMF demands (more on this later) and began growing closer to President Putin who by this time had become the ultimate thorn in the side of NATO. A resurgent Russia was always being countered by the West - whether in Chechnya or Georgia - but the game had suddenly intensified with President Putin deciding that Syria would not be lost, Crimea would be re-unified with Russia and Russia would stand up once again to the West.[/FONT]
This move by Orban to become part of the Russian orbit - defined as any country that does not swallow any fact-free attacks on Russia - marked him for targeting. Not only was Orban talking to Russia and attempting to navigate a non-aligned course but he was supportive of the boogeyman South Stream pipeline that Russia was planning - a pipeline that would navigate territory not controlled outright by the West. For a former Communist country to put this red flag in front of the West was, of course, verboten. Nevermind that Hungary had every economic reason to be non-aligned and find economic benefit from wherever it could in the face of EU collapse. In realpolitik, non-aligned means sleeping with the enemy - the Russian Bear.[/FONT]
Some may see Hungary's moves - both it's warming relations with Russia and support for the South Stream pipeline - as meaningless but for the United States every little country, every little leader, every little rebel group that opposes hegemony is a threat to be dealt with whether they are true rebels or are former allies like Orban who are now merely asking for some economic wiggle-room outside of IMF and Brussels dictates. And if there is really an honest questioning as to whether one country looking to have Russia as an economic partner is considered a threat one needs only to see the fate of the other Viktor - Viktor Yanukovych of Ukraine.[/FONT]
So it is that Viktor Orban has gone from reportedly praising U.S. Senator John McCain in 2008 as a "[/FONT]national hero in the most original sense of this expression" to John McCain now speaking of Hungary under Orban as "a nation that's on the verge of ceding its sovereignty to a neo-Fascist dictator".[i][/FONT][/FONT]
The usual key words are being bandied about by the guardians of democracy. Orban is destroying civil society, cracking down on NGOs, opposing liberal democracy and he is becoming a dictator. Of course, no small reason for this Western claptrap is Orban's decision to spurn IMF suggestions to cut pensions and remove a tax on banks. Again, one must recall that Orban is not anti-IMF by nature having been negotiating with the IMF but realizes that at a certain point, manure is simply manure. As he noted in 2012 in regards to IMF loan conditions he spurned: the deal "contains everything that is not in Hungary's interests."[ii] This was followed in 2013 by the head of Hungary's Central Bank, Gyorgy Matolcsy, writing a letter to IMF head Christine Lagarde and telling her to shutter the IMF's Budapest office as its services were no longer needed.[iii] Hungary was to fully repay its IMF loan with a bold "Adios" on the final check.[/FONT]
Warming relations with Russia, taxes on banks, not cutting pensions, spurning the IMF…all left for Orban to do to antagonize his former allies would be to send troops to support Hezbollah or some such effrontery.[/FONT]
Now there is never a country or leader who tries to break free of neoliberal policies and align with the enemies of Western freedom that is not marked for regime change for lack of a more diplomatic term. So it is that the question arises as to who in Hungary would take up the mantle as the reformer who will save Hungary from running headfirst and intentionally - down the path to an illiberal democracy. In the words of Orban himself:[/FONT]
"…the new state that we are building is an illiberal state, a non-liberal state. It does not deny foundational values of liberalism, as freedom, etc.. But it does not make this ideology a central element of state organization, but applies a specific, national, particular approach in its stead."[iv][/FONT]
The likely attempt at this point will be a cobbled-together coalition of Fidesz officials who will bought back to support right-leaning liberal policies that Orban once supported, "reformed for the camera" Jobbik blue collar voters, apolitical but corruption-opposing college students, random members of the nebulously-defined civil society and most valuably capitalist technocrats to round out the bit. Blue collar workers as the goon squads fighting for a dystopic utopia where civil society's technocrats will rule with a punch to the buttocks of the workers in the name of fiscal responsibility. Welcome back IMF.[/FONT]
Enter Zsolt Varady, capitalist tech entrepreneur and founder of the now-defunct Hungarian social media website iwiw.hu. If his name means nothing to you, etch it in your mind now as it is a name quietly making the rounds in reports on Hungarian protests.[/FONT]
Politically, Mr. Varady came to (im)maturity this past October in his novel lawsuit against every Hungarian political party for the crime of "creating and maintaining a tax system that compels enterprises to commit tax fraud and tax evasion". No real complaints with the dismantling of social welfare programs following the collapse of the socialist bloc. No. Simply a lawsuit blaming political parties for forcing corporations into tax fraud and evasion. Of all the complaints that could be laid before the feet of successive Hungarian governments, Mr. Varady decided on this.[/FONT]
Mr. Varady noted that his purpose in filing the legal proceedings - which he notes are merely "of secondary importance {to}…the related PR" was to improve "tax-paying morale"[v]. "To achieve an optimum tax system the state should be radically reformed. I cannot do that alone," he says. "We need the support of considerable sections of society. The activities of civil society can serve the much needed umbrella for these messages."[vi] To paraphrase: Business doesn't like Orban's taxes so the working class which we will call "civil society" will serve our interests by being the democratic face for our plans to change the tax code in support of a minority.[/FONT]
Strike one in favor of Mr. Vorady in the eyes of the West and IMF. Reform the tax code. Yet what of his political plans? Is he an idealist who wants to push a political agenda that may eventually conflict with foreign support for an Orban putsch? Well not at all. Indeed, he promotes as his next step in politicking the creation of "a website that helps people in civil society organization" which will be funded by "crowd-funding" and, here's the kicker: "Perhaps we can also receive assistance from foreign foundations and probably émigré Hungarians will also chip in."[vii][/FONT]
One can see the wheels turning in Mr. Vorady's eyes. He of the recent "civil society" protests in Hungary. He of the white knight status who can step into the void as the bridge between all the necessary groups to bring democracy to Hungary and freedom from fascism to civil society. The strategy of street protest led by "civil society" is classic for who can oppose the desires of civil people? But keep his above comment in mind. "We" - meaning his class of neoliberal entrepreneurs seeking help from "foreign foundations" "need the support of considerable sections of society" who will be the "umbrella for these messages". Yes my friends, the pictures of civil society will be broadcast while the true agenda will be hidden. The goal, as Mr. Vorady notes will be "new foundations" led by "teams of experts that are competent in their respective fields and are committed"[viii] otherwise known as malleable technocrats.[/FONT]
Mr. Vorady will be the counterpoint to Orban. An unelected Western-friendly gentleman simply looking to aid civil society against an elected modern-day "Mussolini" as Newsweek so appellated him[ix]. Mr. Vorady will reverse the so-called "Putinisation of Hungary" and return ill-defined liberal democracy to the nation.[/FONT]
In theory it sounds wonderful civil society having its rights. Yet rhetoric aside, the track record of Western-backed democratic upheavals needs to be viewed. The picture, as we know, is not too pretty of a sight. Hungary is next in line for "democratic change" brought by the winds of the United States' National Endowment for Democracy mixed with a touch of destabilization tactics from the CANVAS playbook of Srda Popovic[x]. [/FONT]
Lest anyone question Mr. Vorady's bona fides in being ready for the struggle, he has set the stage for force to be used by noting, despite lack of concrete examples, that "the Establishment" (read: the Orban government) "only understands the language of force".[/FONT]
The question as to whether Hungary will meet the wrath of Washington and Brussels is not so much "if", but "when".[/FONT]
Once is conspiracy theory. Twice is coincidence. And now it has become reality.[/FONT]
[i] http://budapestbeacon.com/politics/senat...-dictator/[/FONT]
[ii] http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-19514325
[iii] http://www.spiegel.de/international/euro...11250.html
[iv] http://budapestbeacon.com/public-policy/...july-2014/
[v] http://www.budapesttelegraph.com/news/81...il_website
[vi] Ibid.
[vii] Ibid.
[viii] Ibid.
[ix] http://www.newsweek.com/hungarys-mussoli...ate-262127
[x] http://www.occupy.com/article/exposed-gl...m-stratfor
http://akahnnyc.blogspot.com.au/2015/01/...press.html
"The philosophers have only interpreted the world, in various ways. The point, however, is to change it." Karl Marx
"He would, wouldn't he?" Mandy Rice-Davies. When asked in court whether she knew that Lord Astor had denied having sex with her.
“I think it would be a good idea” Ghandi, when asked about Western Civilisation.
"He would, wouldn't he?" Mandy Rice-Davies. When asked in court whether she knew that Lord Astor had denied having sex with her.
“I think it would be a good idea” Ghandi, when asked about Western Civilisation.