03-05-2016, 04:14 PM
Drew Phipps Wrote:Excerpts from Welch's blog:
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"Friday, April 29, 2016
New Poll Shows Trump Up In Indiana By Nine Points
Every poll taken in Indiana shows Donald Trump leading his Republican primary opponents in next week's primary election. The latest poll released by ARG gives Trump a 9-point advantage over his nearest competitor, Ted Cruz. Trump leads Cruz by a 41-32% margin. Kasich is far behind with just 21% of the vote. Trump is leading in almost every category, including likely Republican voters, young and older voters, male and even female voters.
A second poll released by a Republican pollster, Clout Research, shows the race much closer. Trump is ahead by only two percentage points in that poll over Cruz, 37-35%. Kasich trails with only 16% of the vote.
If I'm not around to see the vote results, my prediction is that Trump wins Indiana with just shy of 50% of the vote, but he will carry every single congressional district and sweep the delegate race--assuming the party-chosen delegates honor their rules-bound commitment to support the winner on the first ballot. Most of those delegates favored John Kasich at the time they were chosen. Only two of the delegates named by state party officials publicly declared their support for Trump, although some have indicated they would feel obligated to support the voters' wishes.
About me
Gary R. Welsh is a practicing lawyer in Indianapolis, who handles cases involving general business, employment, family, immigration, personal injury and civil litigation. His law firm is located in downtown Indianapolis. Gary is a member of the American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA), the Indiana State Bar Association and the Indianapolis Bar Association. Gary earned his J.D. from Indiana University School of Law-Indianapolis (magna cum laude) and his Bachelor of Arts degree in Political Science from Eastern Illinois University (cum laude).You can contact Gary by e-mail at gwelsh@welshatlaw.com for law-related inquiries, or gwelsh@indy.rr.com for all other inquiries.
My blogs
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Emphasis added. Welch's blog is here: http://advanceindiana.blogspot.com/
How telling: "If I'm not around to see the vote". I doubt he wrote that and I am positive he did not commit suicide.