Ukraine to declare war on Russia?

[Lauren Johnson]

Is the deep state ready to give Poroshenko the OK to declare war on Russia to establish "facts on the ground" anticipating a change the coming change of government in the US? Where would Turkey fit in? Here is a speculative read of the situation by V. Suchan.

A Ukrainian government representative in Minsk: The next step is to officially charge Russia of aggression against Ukraine and anchor this as a new recognized fact internationally. It was in part this very threat that has been used to get from Russia as many concessions as possible so far. This means that Ukraine tries to make this threat even more effective by threatening to turn into a fact and a deed or, if the US agrees, Kiev might at last go and officially charge Russia as an aggressor (which, by the way, Poroshenko and others already did in their speeches anyway)--but now in a way which would be tantamount to a declaration of war. Kiev can do this only with U.S. and NATO guarantees. The key incentive of Washington to undertake this might be in part driven by the obvious desire to establish new "facts on the ground" and draw new lines for the next administration so that whoever the next president will be, he or she would already be locked in a newly thus created legal and thus binding reality.

Moreover, if Ukraine does move ahead and declares war on Russia (with the U.S. and NATO officially or less officially announced "red lines" with respect to what Russia can or rather cannot do about it in response), the prospect would be open for Ukraine forming an alliance with Georgia and Turkey and perhaps also with (some of) the Baltic States, while NATO would flexibly define this not as an attack on one of the NATO members per se, but as a justifiable act of solidarity and the otherwise legitimate act of its individual members. In this case, the scenario described (revealed) by STRATFOR/its director Friedman would, indeed, be turned out to have true and valid--Friedman did "forecast" a two-prong push of "Poland" and Turkey into Russia's space leading to Russia's disintegration. If so, then the current purge of the commands of the Turkish Armed Forces, might be not so much (or only) a purge of officers whose loyalty to Erdogan has been suspect, but those who might have disagreed with this new radical venture and prospect. Putin's hasty "reconciliation" with Erdogan would then be a hastily (and likely short-lived) attempt by Putin and his clique to stave off this very threat and its prospect rather than Erdogan's ostensible "apology," which was framed merely as a form of humanitarian regret conveyed via Moscow to the families of the pilots. For Turkey, a formal reason for such alliance and support of Ukraine's crusade could be easily fabricated or found involving the Russian contingent in Syria or around the Karabah issue, since Turkey does treat Azerbaijan much like its ally already. In this regard, the promised official disavowal of al Qaeda by al Qaeda in Syria--al Nusra--would also make sense and "help"--for it could then spearhead transformation of some of the anti-Syrian "moderate rebels" into anti-Russian "moderate rebels" finding a common cause with Ukraine, Turkey, and Georgia. The gates to Hell are being opened.