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“The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he knows already, without a shadow of doubt, what is laid before him.â€
― Leo Tolstoy,
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R.K. Locke Wrote:Seems like it could very well be along the same lines as:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnew...eline.html
And:
https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2015/05...r-m12.html
Spot on - and a view shared by at least one contributor to the website Russian Patrol:
CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES CONTINUE TO EXCHANGE BLOWS
by Oleg Zarubin
http://rusdozor.ru/2015/08/24/kitaj-i-ss...a-udarami/
Quote:Continuing the theme raised in the article "The Anglo-Saxons attack on China." Over the past few days there was another exchange of blows: a chemical plant in China was a massive explosion and a steel mill near the Airport "Haneda" in the capital of Japan started a large fire. Just on the eve of a series of explosions thundered at a US military base in the Japanese city of Sagamihara, Kanagawa Prefecture. Obviously, the second terrorist attack on a chemical plant in China and a retaliatory strike on the territory of Japan - not only a satellite of the USA, but also a country that is very close to the US borders - the links of one chain. And it shows a sharp escalation of the conflict.
"There are three sorts of conspiracy: by the people who complain, by the people who write, by the people who take action. There is nothing to fear from the first group, the two others are more dangerous; but the police have to be part of all three,"
Joseph Fouche
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Moscow Stock Exchange just went down due to 'technical fault' on server. Using a back up ow.
http://www.rt.com/business/314722-moscow...s-trading/
"The philosophers have only interpreted the world, in various ways. The point, however, is to change it." Karl Marx
"He would, wouldn't he?" Mandy Rice-Davies. When asked in court whether she knew that Lord Astor had denied having sex with her.
“I think it would be a good idea” Ghandi, when asked about Western Civilisation.
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US-China Relations: the Pentagon versus High Tech
By Prof. James Petras
Global Research, September 19, 2015
http://www.globalresearch.ca/us-china-re...ch/5477058
Step by step, Washington is inexorably setting up a major provocation against China. Until now, the Obama regime tightened a military encirclement of China, expanding its armed forces agreements with Japan, the Philippines and Australia. In addition, it has promoted the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP), a regional trade agreement which openly excludes China. Obama has ordered a major naval build-up in the South China Sea and embarked on extensive cyber-espionage of Chinese industries and the government via major US high-tech companies, as revealed by Edward Snowden in his release of confidential NSA documents.
Quote:As President Xi Jinping prepares for his first US visit as China's leader on September 25, with the aim of extending economic ties between Chinese and US business (especially with the high tech corporations in Seattle and Silicon Valley), the Obama regime has threatened to impose a series of punitive sanctions against Chinese companies and individuals for cyber-espionage', essentially undermining the purpose of his trip.
Characterizing the Chinese as cyber-thieves' and imposing sanctions on Chinese businesses on the eve of Xi's visit will be justifiably seen as a deliberate humiliation and a provocation, designed to treat China as a mere vassal state of Washington.
This will force the Chinese government to retaliate on behalf of Chinese businesses and President Xi is fully capable of imposing retaliatory sanctions against multi-billion dollar high tech US corporations, which had been flourishing up to now in China.
Obama's decision to provoke China on multiple fronts reflects the overwhelming influence of the militarist power configurations in Washington: the Pentagon, the NSA and the Zionist militarist ideologues.
In contrast to Washington's aggressive policy, the major US high tech corporations are almost unanimous in their opposition to Obama's military pivot' and are appalled by the threat of cyber sanctions, rightly calling them a "needless provocation".
For its part, Wall Street has taken an intermediary position hoping Washington will coerce China into opening' its protected financial markets to the big US banks. It doesn't necessarily support aggressive sanctions, which could provoke a response from China closing off lucrative opportunities in the world's biggest financial market.
Background to a Momentous Confrontation
China's growth and overseas economic expansion has increasingly challenged US market supremacy in Asia, Africa and Latin America.
China's relationship with the US, EU and Japanese multi-national corporations has changed due to its recent technological advances in its manufacturing and service sectors moving its production up the value chain. Increasingly, the Chinese have been demanding technology transfers from their multinational partners and an increasing use of locally manufactured parts in their assembly plants.
China's economic expansion and industrial maturation has evoked divergent responses from the elites in Washington, Silicon Valley and Wall Street.
US Elites Diverge
The Pentagon and the White House developed the military pivot' to deal with China's ascendency as an economic world power. This is essentially a policy of strategic confrontations, including military encirclement through regional base agreements, deliberate economic exclusion through regional trade agreements and political provocation through threatened sanctions. US military bases have expanded and a huge naval armada patrols China's maritime frontier. There are US fighter planes flying over Beijing's reclaimed island installations while the US State Department goads China's neighbors to stake their own territorial claims in the South China Sea.
The White House and its highly militarized State Department have launched a full-scale propaganda campaign through the US mass media, criminalizing China with unsubstantiated charges of espionage. The range, intensity and frequency of these accusations indicate that this campaign is not some clever diplomatic ploy intended to squeeze out concessions in an otherwise peaceful relation. Rather Washington's criminalization of China is meant to provoke a full rupture in diplomatic, political and economic relations and prepare for harsh military confrontations.
Washington's campaign to criminalize China includes the hysterical claims that China has engaged in the long-term, large scale theft of US intellectual property rights. By falsely attributing China's technological advances to theft' Washington denigrates China's endogenous scientific and technological achievements as well as criminalizing the Beijing and Chinese companies.
In the last few years, the US arrested several Chinese scientists and issued warrants for others, publicly accusing them of spying on US companies. The charges against several of the scientists were later quietly dropped by the FBI for lack of evidence but not before the scientists had seen their careers destroyed. The negative propaganda impact on the US public was successful Chinese scholars and scientists were depicted as spies. Whistleblower Edward Snowden's revelations of National Security Agency's documents clearly show that it was the US which was engaged in large-scale spying on Beijing, using major US IT corporations operating in China as a principal vehicle for data theft.
The US has accused China of violating international norms regarding the governance of the internet claiming that Chinese authorities exercise censorship and control over US IT companies as well as its own citizens. In other words, Washington denies Chinese sovereignty by claiming extra-territorial jurisdiction over the internet! Along the same lines, Washington asserts that China has blocked US market access by insisting that public agencies rely on Chinese suppliers and that US firms store their data in China. China's new policies developed after they discovered that US multi-national corporations were working hand-in-glove with the NSA and other US intelligence agencies. Is it any wonder that China sought to protect its industrial and trade secrets, as well as national security, by limiting access for US IT corporations?
The "Financial Press": Wars over Markets
Washington's provocative campaign to criminalize China and Chinese industries has been amplified in the financial pages of the respectable US and British press. The degree to which the leading Anglo-American financial newspapers, the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times, have become rabid advocates of Obama's militarist confrontational policy instead of serving the business community's market interests, evaluating the impact of sanctions on US high tech multi-nationals and presenting the much more moderate position of the major high-tech multi-nationals is striking.
The financial press's shrill campaign is designed to paint China as a corporate criminal and ignores major US corporate opposition to any rash military actions. This propaganda campaign is warning the US IT elite of an imminent barrage of economic sanctions against China's burgeoning cyber industries. These Sanctions could be announced prior to or even during President Xi Jinping's visit to the US if the militarists have their way.
White House Sanctions: The Divergences in US Policy
Despite White House rhetoric and anti-China hysteria, most US IT corporations have reaped huge profits from their sales and business arrangements with the Chinese state and Chinese businesses. According to one executive, "Apple is the standout success story, with sales of the iPhone rising 75 percent in China over the past year (2014)'. (FT 9/12 9/13/15).
Senior IT executives have expressed their willingness to accommodate China's demands a change in the way they do business, including technology transfers, because they see "huge opportunities (for profit) in the near term". The last thing Silicon Valley wants is for Washington to provoke hostile retaliation from China if Obama imposes sanctions: That would entail the loss of hundreds of billions of dollars!
In the highly militarized-Zionized' Obama administration, immersed in the politics of provocation and war, the multi-nationals do not have the final say.
China's Maturing Capitalism: Indigenous Innovations
China's maturing capitalism has been accompanied by significant changes. And in 2006, the Chinese leadership announced a new policy promoting indigenous innovation'. The purpose of the policy was two-fold: to become less dependent on foreign technology and to combat the growing threat of Washington's espionage via US high tech corporations operating in China.
In line with these strategic goals, in 2009 China ruled that only companies with locally developed technology would be allowed to bid for public procurement contracts.
In 2010, Google's operations in China were shutdown when it was revealed that the company had acted as a transmission belt' transferring sensitive Chinese data to the NSA. Washington immediately denounced China for what it termed "censorship" of Google.
As the endogenous innovation policy gained momentum, the US MNC monopoly of China's high tech market was undermined. The MNC's called for Washington to intervene and force China to "open" its markets to US dominance.
In strategic terms, the tie-in between the US IT MNCs and Washington boomeranged: While spying for NSA may have gained short-term favors for the high tech sector, it undermined strategic relations with China and its lucrative market. The IT moguls re-thought the strategy and sought greater autonomy from the NSA to regain China's trust and re-enter its market.
High Tech Diplomacy
The high tech multinational corporations are eager to welcome China's President Xi on his visit, viewing it as an opportunity to mend and expand relations. The Silicon Valley-Seattle corporate elite oppose sanctions against while the White House claim to be acting on their behalf.
The US high tech elite are aware that American IT companies must accommodate China's demands to transfer and share technology. They have adopted a realistic perspective that if they do not share markets, technology and sales they can lose out entirely.
Apple, IBM, CISCO, Qualcomm have declared that they would rather cooperate with China's indigenous innovations policy than face big losses or total exclusion from the Chinese market.
Even Google, which served as the NSA's willing accomplice and was expelled for espionage against China, is now seeking approval for a limited re-entry.
Wall Street Diplomacy: Pressure not Provocation
The big Wall Street bankers, on the other hand, want the White House to pressure China to de- regulate its financial markets. They want China to allow American hedge funds and speculators to sell short and artificially drive down the value of Chinese stocks, increasing volatility and discouraging investors.
It is questionable whether Wall Street's idea of US "pressure" extends to applying punitive economic sanctions. After all, limited financial access under present circumstances is still far more lucrative than total exclusion which could result from Chinese retaliation in response to White House sanctions.
Conclusion
The divergent interests and approaches among US imperial elites, between high powered IT corporate CEO's and Pentagon and White House militarists is evident in two parallel meetings taking place during President Xi's visit.
During his visit to the US, Xi will stop over in Seattle to confer with top IT executives, coinciding with the US-China Internet Industry Forum. The timing and location (Seattle) of the Forum is not coincidental. Its timing was planned by the Chinese and reflects their influence and capacity to play-off powerful US economic elites against Washington's war mongers and Pentagon militarists.
The White House has been pushing for a fight with China ever since Obama announced his so-called pivot to Asia'. The saber rattling has escalated over the past two years, aided and abetted by an all-out propaganda campaign denigrating China's scientific and economic performance and exaggerating fears of its defense modernization programs. When one reads the Wall Street Journal or the Financial Times, one would think the Chinese economy is on the verge of collapse. They describe the drop in China's projected annual growth from 7.3% to 7% as catastrophic'! If the EU and US grew at half that rate, the financial scribes would claim an economic miracle'!
Denigration of the Chinese economy; screeds and characterizations of the Chinese as industrial thieves engaged in spying and criminal behavior and the wild paranoid warnings about the growing Chinese military threat' are part of a systematic build-up to counter lucrative economic relations between China and IT corporations and other leading US economic sectors.
Washington's projected sanctions on China will be many times more costly to US MNC than its current sanctions on Russia. White House sanctions on Moscow mainly damaged European-based industries and businesses. However sanctions against China will have a massive impact on the US economy.
The White House's version of the "yellow peril" has no redeeming features for any sector of the US economy. It is the purest expression of militarism run amok. It over-rides any rational economic interest in pursuit of unadulterated geo-political military supremacy. Even on its own terms military supremacy is unattainable as Washington will soon discover, as China deepens its military ties with Russia!
If and when Washington raises the specter of sanctions against China, (with the accompanying gratuitous insults and unsubstantiated accusations of state sponsored "cyber theft") the Chinese government will respond.
President Xi will take reprisals as he has done before, faced with lesser threats. And he will have the support of the vast majority of Chinese from all regions and classes.
US IT corporations are aware of this potential debacle and have openly and forcefully conveyed their views to Washington. For them, the so-called cyber theft' is a minor issue compared to the lucrative long term strategic opportunities in working with China.
So far the militarists in the Obama White House have commanded US-China policy. Up to now they have disregarded corporate American interests; whether it is US oil interests in Iraq and Libya, or IT corporations in China.
If Zionist officials in the Executive influence the militarists on Middle East policy, the hard core militarists influence the Zionists in the Far East.
If the US military-driven Middle East policy has been a failure, a similar policy toward China will be catastrophic.
US sanctions and humiliation against China and the consequent falling out of relations will play out in slow motion. Beginning with the precipitous decline of joint ventures and exports, it will lead to lifeless cranes in empty Pacific coast ports and rusting container ships; profit losses and vacant country clubs in Silicon Valley and lost sales for US auto companies. The list is endless but the consequences are clear.
Copyright © Prof. James Petras, Global Research, 2015
"There are three sorts of conspiracy: by the people who complain, by the people who write, by the people who take action. There is nothing to fear from the first group, the two others are more dangerous; but the police have to be part of all three,"
Joseph Fouche
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Russia's ultimate lethal weapon
by Pepe Escobar for RT
September 20, 2015
http://thesaker.is/russias-ultimate-lethal-weapon/
Quote:Let's start with some classic Russian politics. Finance Minister Anton Siluanov is drawing up Russia's economic strategy for 2016, including the government budget. Siluanov essentially a liberal, in favor of foreign investment will present his proposals to the Kremlin by the end of this month.
So far, nothing spectacular. But then, a few days ago, Kommersant leaked that Russia's Security Council asked presidential aide Sergei Glazyev to come up with a separate economic strategy, to be presented to the council this week. This is not exactly a novelty, as the Russian Security Council in the past has asked small strategy groups for their economic assessment.
The Security Council is led by Nikolai Patrushev, the former head of the Federal Security Service. He and Siluanov are not exactly on the same wavelength.
And here's where the plot thickens. Glazyev, a brilliant economist, is a Russian nationalist sanctioned personally by the US.
Glazyev is arguably going no holds barred. He is in favor of barring Russian companies from using foreign currency (which makes sense); taxing the conversion of rubles to foreign currencies (same); banning foreign loans to Russian firms (depending if they are not in US dollars or euro); and the smoking gun requiring Russian companies that have Western loans to default.
Predictably, some sectors of US Think Tankland' went bonkers, stating with utmost certainty that "the Russian energy sector would not be able to find much financing without connections to the West." Nonsense. Russian firms would easily find financing from Chinese, Japanese or South Korean sources.
Whatever measure of attention Glazyev will get inside the Kremlin, the whole episode already means that Moscow harbors no illusions in the near future regarding the exceptionalists (one just has to look at the presidential candidates, from El Trumpissimo' to The Hillarator'); as Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov recently put it, "[we] should expect toughening of the sanctions pressure." Once thing though is absolutely certain; Moscow won't bend over backwards to "pacify" Washington.
Neo-Tsarism, anyone?
One might be tempted to see Glazyev drawing up plans to return to some sort of Tsarist self-sufficiency while cutting off ties with the West. Assuming some version of that would be approved by the Kremlin, what's certain is that it may turn into a huge blow the EU might not recover from.
Imagine Russia defaulting on all its foreign debt over $700 billion on which Western sanctions have raised extra, punitive costs in terms of repayment.
The default would be payback for the twin Western manipulation of oil prices and the ruble. The manipulation involved unleashing on the oil market over five million barrels a day of excess reserve production that were held back by a few usual suspects, plus derivative manipulation at the NYMEX, crashing the price.
Then, the derivative manipulation of the ruble crashed the currency. Almost all imports to Russia were virtually blocked as oil and natural gas exports remained constant. In the long run though, this should create a significant balance of trade surplus for Russia; a very positive factor for long-term growth of Russia's domestic industry.
Vladimir Yakunin, the former head of Russian Railways, now out due to a reshuffle, recently told AP in no uncertain terms how the aim of US sanctions was to cut off Russia economically from Europe.
Sanctions, coupled with speculation on oil and the ruble, pushed the Russian economy into recession in 2015. Yakunin, like most of the economic/business elite, expect Russia's economic troubles to last at least until 2017.
Currently the only products that the West needs from Russia are oil and natural gas. A possible Russian default on its debt would have no effect on that demand in the short-term; and most probably in the long-term as well, unless it would contribute to a new financial crisis in the West, something that nearly happened in 1998.
We all remember August 1998, when a Russian default shook the entire Western financial system to the core. If a Russian default is now the object of serious consideration by the highest powers that be and that includes, of course, the FSB, SVR, GRU then the specter of The Mother of All Financial Crisis in the West is back. And for the EU, that would be fatal.
It's your fault we can't loot
Enter Iran. The lifting of sanctions on Iran arguably by early 2016 ultimately has nothing to do with the nuclear dossier. It's a Pipelineistan Great Game', as in having everything to do with oil and natural gas.
The US and EU wet dream remains to replace Russia with Iran in terms of natural gas and oil imports to the EU. Every serious analyst knows this might take at least a decade, and over $200 billion in investment; not to mention Gazprom would fight it with the formidable commercial weapons in its arsenal.
At the same time Western financial powers in the New York-London axis did not anticipate that Moscow would not bow down and accept their demands that Putin lay off Ukraine so that they could loot Ukraine's mostly agricultural lands at will. They obviously didn't learn from history; Putin also did not back off when he stopped them from looting Russia.
So the entire, sorrowful Kiev episode, as much as an infinite NATO expansion gambit, was also an attempt to stop Putin from preventing the Western looting of Ukraine.
What we had as a result was a tectonic geopolitical shift; the reconfiguration of the entire world balance of power as Russia and China deepened their strategic partnership based on a mutual external threat coming mostly from the US, with the EU as accessories. Russian intelligence very well knows the alliance now makes Russia and China invulnerable, whereas separately they could easily fall victim to trademark Divide and Rule.
As for the counter-NATO angle, Russia has had plenty of time to remilitarize, focusing on defensive and offensive missiles; the key to the next major war, and not obsolete US aircraft carriers. Russian defensive missiles such as the state-of-the-art S-500 and the offensive Topol M each with ten MIRVs can easily neutralize whatever the Pentagon may have in store.
After Russia, Western financial Masters of the Universe' went after China for allying with Russia. The usual financial suspects rigged the Chinese stock market in an attempt to crash the economy, using Wall Street proxies manipulating cash settlement mechanisms to first raise up the prices of the Chinese A shares, creating a giant boom, and then reversing the cash settlement rig to crash the market.
No wonder Beijing, very much aware of what was happening massively intervened; is actively studying cash settlement moves; and is carefully reviewing the records of major stock operators in China.
Round up those central bank suspects
The Kremlin's got to do something about the Russian Central Bank.
The Russian Central Bank kept interest rates high, forcing Russian oil and natural gas producers to finance their operations from Western sources, and thereby plunging the Russian economy into a debt trap.
These loans to Russia were part of the New York-London financier axis control mechanism. Were Moscow to "disobey" the West, the West would call in their loans after crashing the ruble, making repayment almost impossible, as they did with Iran.
This is the mechanism through which the West and its institutions, the IMF, World Bank, BIS, the whole gang rule. Beijing is moving either to complement or replace this set-up with new and more democratic international institutions.
If the Russian Central Bank had operated under sounder principles, it would have lent money at interest rates below the West's, and linked each loan to productive investment. A modus operandi totally different from the US where much of the central bank credit goes to banks and financiers for their speculative scams.
Michael Hudson, among others, has already made the case that the entire Fed only serves the interest of its financial rulers and does not give a damn about American industrial infrastructure, which was progressively shifted to colonies and/or vassals, as well as to China.
So the Masters of the Universe' thought hardcore pressure on both Russia and then China would work. It did not. There are reasons to be alarmed; the Masters of the Universe' will keep raising the ante, higher and higher.
The scenario ahead spells out Russia further moving east while simultaneously moving to extricate itself from most of the West's institutional architecture.
The merger of the China-driven New Silk Roads, a.k.a. One Belt, One Road and the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union, although slow and full of pitfalls, is irreversible. It's in their mutual interest to invest and develop a pan-Eurasian emporium.
Iranian natural gas will go mostly to the Asian part of Eurasia, and not the EU. And the Chinese economy will at least triple over the next fifteen years as the US continues to de-industrialize.
Whatever Putin and Obama discuss at their possible meeting at the end of the month in New York, exceptionalist pressure over the bear won't abate. So it pays for the bear to keep a lethal financial weapon in storage.
"There are three sorts of conspiracy: by the people who complain, by the people who write, by the people who take action. There is nothing to fear from the first group, the two others are more dangerous; but the police have to be part of all three,"
Joseph Fouche
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Lauren Johnson Wrote:Halford MacIndor's The Geopolitical Pivot of History and the Guido Preparata's Conjuring Hitler should now be brought back to our thoughts. The ultimate catastrophe for the island nations, i.e. England, the US and of course its backyard, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand is that Eurasia should unite and therefore that continuous wars should be fomented and fought on the Eurasian land mass. Hence, we see World Wars I & II.
Seeing the NATO sponsored aggression in the Ukraine and in Syria for what it is -- a message to Russia that you're next -- and considering Obama's pivot to the pacific, which should be seen as a encirclement of China, our attention should be put on alert by this:
Quote:Asia Times Online's Spengler coined a formulation: "A specter is haunting Europe, and that is the specter of a Russian-Chinese alliance at the expense of Europe." The alliance is already on - manifested in the G-20, the BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. There are military technology synergies on the horizon - the ultra-sophisticated S-500 air defense system is to be unveiled by Moscow, and Beijing would absolutely love to have it. But for the real fireworks, just wait a few weeks, when Putin visits Beijing in May.
That's when he will sign the famous $1 trillion gas deal according to which Gazprom will supply China's CNPC with 3.75 billion cubic feet of gas a day for 30 years, starting in 2018 (China's current daily gas demand is around 16 billion cubic feet).
Gazprom may still collect most of its profits from Europe, but Asia is its privileged future. On the competition front, the hyper-hyped US shale "revolution" is a myth - as much as the notion the US will be suddenly increasing exports of gas to the rest of the world any time soon.
Gazprom will use this mega-deal to boost investment in eastern Siberia - which sooner rather than later will be configured as the privileged hub for gas shipments to both Japan and South Korea. That's the ultimate (substantial) reason why Asia won't "isolate" Russia. ( See Asia will not 'isolate' Russia, Asia Times Online, March 25, 2014.)
Not to mention the much-anticipated "thermonuclear" (for the petrodollar) possibility that Russia and China will agree payment for the Gazprom-CNPC deal may be in yuan or rubles. That will be the dawn of a basket of currencies as the new international reserve currency - a key BRICS objective and the ultimate, incendiary, new (economic) fact on the ground.
I can only imagine that Empire's war gamers, which now in most likely include supercomputers running geo-political simulations, are getting a workout.
China's one belt one road policy and the set up of Shanghai Co-operation Organization (SCO) paved the way of China's plan to control the heartland of Eurasia. In the near future, Russia , China, Iran and India will play more important roles in this New Silk Road that will certainly counteract the naval containment strategy of US. Oil and natural resources will be paid in RMB in future. However, as time goes by, Russia and China will struggle for leadership in this new silk road, both have advantages. US will not just watch. She will try endeavours to divide Russia and China. The new silk road will progress greatly only Russia and China keep a harmonous relationship.
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Quote:China's one belt one road policy and the set up of Shanghai Co-operation Organization (SCO) paved the way of China's plan to control the heartland of Eurasia. In the near future, Russia , China, Iran and India will play more important roles in this New Silk Road that will certainly counteract the naval containment strategy of US. Oil and natural resources will be paid in RMB in future. However, as time goes by, Russia and China will struggle for leadership in this new silk road, both have advantages. US will not just watch. She will try endeavours to divide Russia and China. The new silk road will progress greatly only Russia and China keep a harmonous relationship.
Welcome Hei Sing Tso. I see this is your second post.
A couple of questions. Your name suggests that you are Chinese? If so, are you living in China or are you an expat? Some of us have been following Eurasia very closely. Anything you would like to contribute would be most welcome.
"We'll know our disinformation campaign is complete when everything the American public believes is false." --William J. Casey, D.C.I
"We will lead every revolution against us." --Theodore Herzl
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Lauren Johnson Wrote:Quote:China's one belt one road policy and the set up of Shanghai Co-operation Organization (SCO) paved the way of China's plan to control the heartland of Eurasia. In the near future, Russia , China, Iran and India will play more important roles in this New Silk Road that will certainly counteract the naval containment strategy of US. Oil and natural resources will be paid in RMB in future. However, as time goes by, Russia and China will struggle for leadership in this new silk road, both have advantages. US will not just watch. She will try endeavours to divide Russia and China. The new silk road will progress greatly only Russia and China keep a harmonous relationship.
Welcome Hei Sing Tso. I see this is your second post.
A couple of questions. Your name suggests that you are Chinese? If so, are you living in China or are you an expat? Some of us have been following Eurasia very closely. Anything you would like to contribute would be most welcome.
Yes, I am a Chinese living in Hong Kong. I am a practising lawyer but also an independent researcher in secrets and mysteries. Sure, I can read write Chinese, speak mandarin and Cantonese, so that I may share more about China with all members here, Thank you very much. Hope you all can enjoy reading my post, both positive and negative comments are welcome.
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Hei Sing Tso Wrote:Lauren Johnson Wrote:Halford MacIndor's The Geopolitical Pivot of History and the Guido Preparata's Conjuring Hitler should now be brought back to our thoughts. The ultimate catastrophe for the island nations, i.e. England, the US and of course its backyard, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand is that Eurasia should unite and therefore that continuous wars should be fomented and fought on the Eurasian land mass. Hence, we see World Wars I & II.
Seeing the NATO sponsored aggression in the Ukraine and in Syria for what it is -- a message to Russia that you're next -- and considering Obama's pivot to the pacific, which should be seen as a encirclement of China, our attention should be put on alert by this:
Quote:Asia Times Online's Spengler coined a formulation: "A specter is haunting Europe, and that is the specter of a Russian-Chinese alliance at the expense of Europe." The alliance is already on - manifested in the G-20, the BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. There are military technology synergies on the horizon - the ultra-sophisticated S-500 air defense system is to be unveiled by Moscow, and Beijing would absolutely love to have it. But for the real fireworks, just wait a few weeks, when Putin visits Beijing in May.
That's when he will sign the famous $1 trillion gas deal according to which Gazprom will supply China's CNPC with 3.75 billion cubic feet of gas a day for 30 years, starting in 2018 (China's current daily gas demand is around 16 billion cubic feet).
Gazprom may still collect most of its profits from Europe, but Asia is its privileged future. On the competition front, the hyper-hyped US shale "revolution" is a myth - as much as the notion the US will be suddenly increasing exports of gas to the rest of the world any time soon.
Gazprom will use this mega-deal to boost investment in eastern Siberia - which sooner rather than later will be configured as the privileged hub for gas shipments to both Japan and South Korea. That's the ultimate (substantial) reason why Asia won't "isolate" Russia. ( See Asia will not 'isolate' Russia, Asia Times Online, March 25, 2014.)
Not to mention the much-anticipated "thermonuclear" (for the petrodollar) possibility that Russia and China will agree payment for the Gazprom-CNPC deal may be in yuan or rubles. That will be the dawn of a basket of currencies as the new international reserve currency - a key BRICS objective and the ultimate, incendiary, new (economic) fact on the ground.
I can only imagine that Empire's war gamers, which now in most likely include supercomputers running geo-political simulations, are getting a workout.
China's one belt one road policy and the set up of Shanghai Co-operation Organization (SCO) paved the way of China's plan to control the heartland of Eurasia. In the near future, Russia , China, Iran and India will play more important roles in this New Silk Road that will certainly counteract the naval containment strategy of US. Oil and natural resources will be paid in RMB in future. However, as time goes by, Russia and China will struggle for leadership in this new silk road, both have advantages. US will not just watch. She will try endeavours to divide Russia and China. The new silk road will progress greatly only Russia and China keep a harmonous relationship.
I also agree with you about this, particularly your point that the US will go to considerable lengths to interrupt the silk road whenever and wherever it can. For me the most likely targets will be those nations closer to western Europe, but I also wouldn't count out "terrorist" attacks in either Russia or China aimed at interrupting the flow of goods.
The shadow is a moral problem that challenges the whole ego-personality, for no one can become conscious of the shadow without considerable moral effort. To become conscious of it involves recognizing the dark aspects of the personality as present and real. This act is the essential condition for any kind of self-knowledge. Carl Jung - Aion (1951). CW 9, Part II: P.14
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Hei Sing Tso: most of use refer to each other by our first names. How would you like to be addressed?
Second, do you have any opinions on the strange explosions in Chinese chemical plants in August of last year?
"We'll know our disinformation campaign is complete when everything the American public believes is false." --William J. Casey, D.C.I
"We will lead every revolution against us." --Theodore Herzl
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