TSBD Doorway man - Oswald or Lovelady?

[James H. Fetzer]

It has taken me a while to appreciate the full dimensions of the incompetence of David Josephs, where his argument hinges upon an elementary fallacy of equivocation. When we (Ralph, Richard, and I) speak of "points of comparison", we are NOT speaking about LITERAL POINTS but FEATURES, such as the right ear of Doorman being the same as the right ear of Oswald, the left eye of Doorman being the same as the left eye of Oswald, and on and on and on. In post #303, which Chas. Drago was so eager to move out of the line-up and bury in this thread, when it deserved a thread of its own, no doubt many, such as David Josephs, missed the opportunity to appreciate the detail and extent of the MULTIPLE FEATURES that correspond between them. Ears, for example, are as distinctive as fingerprints. This many commonalities has an extremely high probability if they are the same person wearing the same clothing. This many commonalities by chance, however, has a miniscule probability approaching zero.

He trades upon the equivocation to suggest that POINTS OF SIMILARITY are "dime a dozen", creating the plausible sounding impression that we are trading in POINTS, when we are actually trading in FEATURES. How common, after all, is it going to be for two persons to have the same right ear? the same left eye? or the multitude of other features that Doorman happens to share with Oswald? When you understand the argument, it becomes apparent that this similarity cannot be by chance, as he would lead us to believe. And the lemmings have followed suit, including some who should not have been so easily taken in. So I really think some of you need to reconsider your positions, because they are PROFOUNDLY indefensible. And when are any of you going to get around to debunking the four major proofs that the Altgens6 has been altered? It astounds me that you can pretend to be rational when you persist in denying the obfuscated face, the missing shoulder, and so forth. (See page 31 for more.)

POINTS OF COMPARISON

The official line, for nearly 50 years, has been that another TSBD employee, Billy Lovelady, was the real man in the doorway. Not the least of the problems with that story is that, on 2 March 1964, Billy Lovelady told the FBI that he had been wearing a red and white, vertically striped, short sleeved shirt buttoned near his neck--and the FBI took photographs of Billy wearing it. Lee Oswald, by comparison, had on a long sleeve, brown tweed over shirt, which was unbuttoned more than halfway down his torso. Beneath it, he was wearing a white under shirt (or "t-shirt") with collar stretched into a V. His clothing, his stance and posture, his right ear, his left eye and brow, his mouth, expression, chin, and facial bone structure, points of light and shadow, and hair are the same as those features of Doorman (as this article explains). There are multiple unique and identifiable features of Doorman and Oswald's shirt, collar and lapels, alone. First consider his left lapel and then consider the right, as follows:



George H.W. Bush once spoke of "a thousand points of light". But in this case we can settle for 27 points of similarity between Doorman and Oswald. If you were to assume that two different people, taken at random, might share one of these features in common at one time in ten--which is probably an exaggeration, but useful for calculation--then the probability that they would share 27 features in common would be equal to 1/10 times itself 27 times, which is a one over a one followed by twenty seven zeros or 1/1 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000, which we would all agree is a very small number. If these similarities are not assumed to be occurring merely by chance because Doorman and Oswald were the same person, however, then the probability that they would have 27 features in common approximates the value of one. Since an hypothesis is preferable when its probability (technically, its likelihood) is greater than an alternative, unless one is a value that is smaller than 1/1 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000, the Oswald = Doorman hypothesis has been confirmed:

Taking posting lessons from Craig Lamson now?

Doofus?

Now we KNOW you've lost it Jim....
Sad state of affairs when you can't even address the post, only insult the poster....

Why does what Fritz & Bookout write about Oswald's clothes, on the same page as the SHELLEY comment, have any more or less credible than the SHELLEY COMMENT?
and if what he said is as true as the SHELLEY statement...

how do you reconcile that with Altgens 6?

You think you can match shirts like Doorman's and Oswald's virtually ARBITRARILY? I knew you were dumb, I just didn't know you were this stupid.

No Jim... but I see that you can ARBITRARILY decide what is and isn't a MATCH based on very flawed abilities to do so.
I can also see that you STILL have no clue how probability works or how it applies here... with a comparison of PHOTOS of shirts... not even the shirts themselves.

You've become a sad, pathetic, bitter, old man.... no WONDER you sound like Lamson.

:dancingman: